Barebones FTLT v3 - 14 Jul 2006
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A one-holding-at-a-time market-timing strategy that aggressively bets on big tech when conditions look favorable, but shifts to bonds or gold when markets look risky or defensive.
This strategy mostly watches the Nasdaq-100 through QQQ, a fund full of large tech-heavy companies like Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Nvidia.
If that market gets very wild, it moves to TLT (long-term U.S. government bonds). If QQQ looks unusually beaten down, it buys QLD, which is a turbo-charged bullish bet on the Nasdaq. If QQQ looks too overheated, it buys QID, which rises when the Nasdaq falls.
If neither extreme is happening, it compares tech stocks with XLU, a fund of utility companies like electric and water providers. If tech is stronger, it stays bullish with QLD. If utilities look stronger, it turns defensive and chooses between bonds (TLT) and gold (GLD), usually favoring gold when bonds look weak.
Out-of-sample: 22.47% annualized return vs SPY 19.75%, Calmar ~1.04. Higher tech-cycle upside with tactical hedges, but larger drawdowns and lower Sharpe—best for risk-tolerant growth investors seeking alpha from tech leadership.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3 | 0.73 | 0.2 | 0.45 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 795.39% | 11.41% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.66 | |
| 98,225.7% | 40.46% | -17.06% | -10.41% | 1.23 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$9,832,570.17Regulatory Fees
$22,605.68
Total Slippage
$199,514.89
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 8, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Market timing, tactical asset allocation, leveraged etfs, nasdaq, bonds, gold, defensive rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total