Baller Basket
Today’s Change (Aug 6, 2026)
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About
A daily, rules‑based basket that rides semiconductor uptrends (SOXL), flips to short semis or Treasuries in downtrends (SOXS/TMF/TMV/TLT), and occasionally trades volatility pops (UVXY), using long‑term trend, short‑term overbought/oversold, and bond‑market checks.
Each day it chooses from a menu: SOXL (3x long semis), SOXS (3x short semis), TMF/TMV (3x long/short long Treasuries), TLT/SHY, and sometimes UVXY (2x VIX). It first checks market trend (SPY vs 200‑day). In uptrends it favors SOXL; in downtrends it flips to SOXS/Treasuries. Short‑term “heat”/“washed‑out” scores (RSI: 0–100; >70 hot, <30 oversold) and a bond‑market check fine‑tune entries. Small sleeves may hold tech 3x, gold, staples, dollar, or anti‑beta.
Out-of-sample edge: ~42% annualized return vs ~22% for the S&P, with Calmar ~1.40 signaling strong risk-adjusted upside. Drawdowns can be larger, but a rules-based trend-following mix of semis, bonds, and volatility hedges seeks to outperform over cycles.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7 | 1.21 | 0.2 | 0.44 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 603.52% | 14.6% | 2.46% | 6.63% | 0.9 | |
| 7,236,549.38% | 118.48% | 16.07% | 29.72% | 1.95 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$723,664,938.00Regulatory Fees
$1,231,740.68
Total Slippage
$11,758,739.12
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 24, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following,tactical allocation,leveraged etfs,semiconductors,treasuries,volatility hedging,momentum,rsi,risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 24 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SCHB
Schwab U.S. Broad Market ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks