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Balanced Portfolio (Quarterly) with Recession Case
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A trend-based, risk-on/risk-off mix: when the S&P 500 weakens (below its 200‑day average), it shifts mostly into long Treasuries and gold; otherwise it holds a balanced 5‑way blend of US stocks, Treasuries, and gold.
NutHow it works
It checks daily if SPY (an S&P 500 fund) is below its 200‑day moving average (the average closing price over ~10 months). If weak: go defensive—70% VGLT (long‑term US Treasuries), 20% SGOL (gold), 10% VTI (total US stocks). Else: hold 20% each—VTI (US stocks), VIOV (US small‑value stocks), VGLT (long Treasuries), VGSH (short Treasuries), SGOL (gold). Rebalanced automatically.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample, this strategy beats the S&P 500 on risk, not just returns: Sharpe 2.91 vs 2.68, Calmar 7.57, max drawdown 3.28% vs 5.07%, plus positive alpha from diversified stocks, Treasuries and gold.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
AlphaBetaR2R
0.040.170.080.28
Performance Metrics
Cumulative ReturnAnnualized ReturnTrailing 1M ReturnTrailing 3M ReturnSharpe Ratio
716.12%14.55%-0.15%0.4%0.88
164.21%6.49%3.03%5.75%0.66
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$26,421.39
Regulatory Fees
$96.89
Total Slippage
$179.37
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 4, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical asset allocation, risk-on/risk-off, multi-asset, stocks-bonds-gold, 200-day moving average
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total
Ticker
Type
SGOL
abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
VGLT
Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
VGSH
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
VIOV
Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF
Stocks
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toVTI, SGOLandVGLT. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 23.64%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 3.28%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.