[Backtest] Vol Hedge Momentum
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A rules‑based, three‑sleeve, multi‑asset plan that rides stock uptrends (via S&P 500, sometimes 2x) and goes defensive in downtrends with Treasuries, cash, gold, dollar, commodities—or even short tech. Signals use moving averages and RSI.
3 sleeves: 10% buys the strongest movers (by 70‑day RSI) from volatility, dollar, gold, bonds, commodities, stocks. 20% owns the top 4‑month performers across assets. 70% follows stock trends: when up, hold S&P 500 (2x via SSO) + Treasuries; when down, rotate to bonds, cash, gold, staples, short Nasdaq. Signals: moving averages and RSI (0–100 strength gauge). IEF=7‑10y Treas., SHV/SHY=T‑bills, GLD=gold, DBC=commod., UUP=$, FXE=€, XLK=tech, XLP=staples, VIXY/M=vol., PSQ=short Nasdaq.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 1.73 vs 1.40; Calmar 2.56; drawdown 8.5% vs 18.8%. Return 21.78% vs 22.33% (slightly lower, but far less risk). A three-sleeve, trend-following, multi-asset strategy with built-in downside protection.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09 | 0.35 | 0.34 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 563.69% | 13.56% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.83 | |
| 693.49% | 14.93% | 1.6% | 4.92% | 1.42 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$79,348.64Regulatory Fees
$138.40
Total Slippage
$861.34
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 6, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 12%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, multi-asset, momentum, trend following, risk-on/risk-off, volatility hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
FXE
Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Currency Trust
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks