BACKTEST v1.3a | Adaptive All Weather Portfolio
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
An adaptive, multi-asset, momentum-driven strategy that uses leverage and selective shorting to try to beat the S&P 500 in varied markets, while aiming to reduce risk through diversification and defensive hedges.
A rule-based, multi-layer strategy that diversifies across stocks, bonds, commodities, and currencies. It splits the portfolio into groups (Equities, Bonds, Commodities) with fixed-ish budget within each group. Signals based on price momentum, relative strength, and moving averages decide which assets to own long, which to short, and how to weight them. In bullish regimes, it tilts to leveraged equity bets (e.g., tech, semiconductors). In bearish or rising-rate regimes, it shifts toward defensive hedges, anti-beta funds, and short-equity positions, sometimes using currency hedges. The crash-protection layer adds defensive exposures to limit drawdowns. Rebalancing happens through signal-driven weight changes rather than calendar dates. The approach aims to capture growth in good times while damping risk in bad times via diversification and leverage, using ETFs to keep the structure transparent and tradable.
Out-of-sample, this adaptive, multi-asset strategy offers stronger risk-adjusted results with lower market risk than the S&P 500: beta ~0.62, volatility ~0.184, drawdown ~18.3%, Calmar ~1.19, Sharpe ~1.17.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.23 | 0.42 | 0.18 | 0.42 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289.61% | 13.56% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.8 | |
| 1,691.31% | 30.97% | 1.73% | 0.59% | 1.58 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$179,130.60Regulatory Fees
$757.78
Total Slippage
$4,532.65
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 3, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
All weather adaptation, momentum, leveraged/short, multi-asset, backtest
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 38 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
COMT
iShares U.S. ETF Trust iShares GSCI Commodity Dynamic Roll Strategy ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
GLTR
abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF
Stocks
GUSH
Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. Bull 2X ETF
Stocks