BACKTEST v1.3a | Adaptive All Weather Portfolio
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rules‑based, adaptive “all‑weather” mix of stocks, bonds, commodities, and the U.S. dollar. It watches fear and interest‑rate trends, adds leverage in good times, and uses defensive/short funds in bad—aiming to beat the S&P 500 over full cycles.
1) If market fear jumps, it flips to crash mode: either parks in very short‑term bonds/cash or holds one small bullish fund only if big‑tech is still above its trend.
2) Otherwise it holds ~55% bonds, 30% stocks, 15% commodities and rotates using recent trends and a short‑term “hot/cold” score: when rates fall it leans into 2–3x stock/bond funds; when rates rise it shifts to defensive sectors, the U.S. dollar, and inverse (short) funds. Commodities favor recent leaders (oil, gold/silver).
Adaptive all-weather strategy with crash protection and regime switches. Out-of-sample: ~21.8% vs SPY 23.3%, but lower drawdown (18.3% vs 18.8%), lower beta (~0.62) and stronger risk-adjusted resilience than the S&P 500.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 3, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset,tactical asset allocation,trend + mean reversion,leveraged etfs,long/short,volatility switch,sector rotation,bonds,commodities,currency
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 38 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
COMT
iShares U.S. ETF Trust iShares GSCI Commodity Dynamic Roll Strategy ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
GLTR
abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF
Stocks
GUSH
Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. Bull 2X Shares
Stocks