BACKTEST v1.3a | Adaptive All Weather Portfolio
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Adaptive all‑weather portfolio with a crash switch. It rotates among stock index funds (sometimes leveraged), Treasuries (long or inverse), the U.S. dollar, and commodities using trend and stress signals—aiming to beat the S&P 500 over time.
Three sleeves—stocks (~30%), bonds (~55%), commodities (~15%)—plus an emergency switch.
If fear spikes and trends break, it parks in very short‑term bonds; otherwise holds one cautious equity pick.
Stocks: go aggressive with strong broad/tech indexes in good times; go defensive and, if needed, use inverse funds in bad times.
Bonds: own long Treasuries when rates fall; short Treasuries or hold the U.S. dollar (UUP) when rates rise.
Commodities: tilt to recent winners (oil/gold/silver).
Out-of-sample, this adaptive strategy offers strong risk-adjusted growth with crash protection and regime-aware hedging. It aims for solid alpha and drawdown control vs. the S&P 500, delivering steadier, resilient gains.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.23 | 0.42 | 0.18 | 0.42 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289.61% | 13.56% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.8 | |
| 1,691.31% | 30.97% | 1.73% | 0.59% | 1.58 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$179,130.60Regulatory Fees
$757.78
Total Slippage
$4,532.65
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 3, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Adaptive allocation, trend-following, crash protection, leveraged etfs, bonds, commodities, usd, sector rotation, long/short
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 38 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
COMT
iShares U.S. ETF Trust iShares GSCI Commodity Dynamic Roll Strategy ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
GLTR
abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF
Stocks
GUSH
Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. Bull 2X ETF
Stocks