BACKTEST v1.3a | Adaptive All Weather Portfolio
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Adaptive All‑Weather mix (Stocks ~30%, Bonds ~55%, Commodities ~15%) with fear and interest‑rate switches. Uses 2–3x funds in good trends and shifts to defensive, U.S. dollar, or bear funds when stress/rates rise. K‑1 free, threshold rebalancing (~10%).
Goal: profit in any economy via 3 buckets—Stocks ~30%, Bonds ~55%, Commodities ~15%. A fear switch parks in T‑bills; if the trend still points up, it may buy one 2x stock/oil fund on a dip. In normal times: Stocks use 2–3x S&P/Nasdaq/sector funds in good times; when rates rise, it shifts to defensive sectors, a low‑vol fund, the U.S. dollar, and can use bear funds. Bonds: long Treasuries (often 3x) when rates fall; dollar/short‑bond/inverse‑Treasury funds when rates rise. Commodities: broad basket + recent leaders. RSI = 0–100 speed gauge.
Out-of-sample edge: a risk-controlled, multi-asset strategy with Calmar ~1.20 and max drawdown ~18.3%, designed to protect in stress while pursuing upside through regime shifts and selective leverage (K‑1 free).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.23 | 0.42 | 0.18 | 0.42 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 301.73% | 14.11% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.82 | |
| 1,709.29% | 31.63% | -0.2% | 0.55% | 1.61 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$180,929.13Regulatory Fees
$720.20
Total Slippage
$4,304.25
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 3, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend/momentum, volatility switch, leveraged etfs, inverse etfs, sector rotation, macro, crash protection
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 38 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
COMT
iShares U.S. ETF Trust iShares GSCI Commodity Dynamic Roll Strategy ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
GLTR
abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF
Stocks
GUSH
Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. Bull 2X Shares
Stocks