Backtest: Four Corners | OverSimplified 3x | SHARED
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A switch-on-signals strategy: ride Nasdaq with 3x/2x ETFs when conditions favor growth and credit; otherwise step to cash, short Nasdaq, or use volatility hedges. Signals use price strength (RSI), volatility, and credit vs cash.
Two axes decide risk: 1) Growth vs defensive: is tech (QQQ) stronger than utilities (VPU)? 2) Credit vs cash: are corporate bonds (CORP) beating T‑bills (BIL)? If growth+credit: use 3x Nasdaq (TQQQ) unless too hot/weak, then step to cash (BIL). If safety is winning or stress spikes: downshift to 2x (QLD), go short Nasdaq (PSQ), or briefly hold volatility (VIXY). “RSI” reads how stretched prices are; high jumpiness drops risk.
Leverage growth with tactical hedges and credit signals. Out-of-sample annualized return: 42.6% vs SPY's 19.1%, Calmar ~1.19. Higher drawdowns (~36% vs ~19%), but a disciplined framework aims for stronger upside and risk control.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 8, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged nasdaq, tactical hedging, cash/t-bills, corporate credit, tips; utilities/treasuries as signals
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
CORP
PIMCO Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index Exchange-Traded Fund
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
STIP
iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VPU
Vanguard Utilities ETF
Stocks