Backtest: Four Corners | No metals edition | SHARED
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A rules-driven, ETF-only “four corners” strategy. It compares growth vs defense and credit vs cash to pick among aggressive or safe mixes, with quick hot/cold checks for bounces or hedges. Focus: high Sharpe, liquidity, and no wild swings.
It’s a “four corners” playbook that watches two things: 1) QQQ (big US tech) vs VPU (utilities) to tell if growth or defense is leading, and 2) CORP (investment‑grade corporate bonds) vs BIL (T‑Bills/cash) to tell if credit is healthy. Those two yes/no signals create 4 market states. In each state it holds a mix of aggressive or safe ETFs. It also uses RSI (a hot/cold gauge: high=stretched, low=washed‑out) for quick safety cuts or brief bounce/hedge trades. Metals are removed; cash used instead.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~27.3% vs SPY ~19.1%, with Calmar ~1.34 and strong liquidity. A regime-aware, four-corners ETF strategy targets higher upside across growth and credit while applying built-in risk controls; Sharpe trails SPY slightly.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 7, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, multi-asset etfs, momentum + mean reversion, volatility filter, hedged, leveraged etfs, no commodities
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CORP
PIMCO Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index Exchange-Traded Fund
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
LTPZ
PIMCO 15+ Year U.S. TIPS Index Exchange-Traded Fund
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks