Backtest: Four Corners
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Rules-based, risk-first ETF strategy. A safety brake handles turbulence; quick trades buy dips/fade pops; core 2×2 (Nasdaq growth vs Utilities; credit vs cash) picks diversified baskets. Seeks high Sharpe, avoids big shorts, uses leverage only selectively.
1) Safety brake: if Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) is swinging wildly, shift to safer mix (Treasuries, gold) or small stock shorts, guided by a simple 0–100 “hot/cold” gauge (RSI) on Treasuries vs short‑Nasdaq.
2) If swings are normal, two quick trades: buy sharp dips or fade overheated pops.
3) Otherwise use a 2×2 core: growth (QQQ) vs defense (Utilities, VPU) and credit‑on (corporate bonds, CORP) vs cash (T‑Bills, BIL). Each basket holds 3–4 liquid ETFs with modest, selective leverage.
Out-of-sample edge: 23% annualized return vs 19% for SPY; lower drawdown (~17.9% vs ~18.8%); Calmar ~1.29. A rules-based, volatility-gated, multi-asset strategy for steadier, higher risk-adjusted growth with limited leverage.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 6, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation,risk-on/risk-off,momentum and mean-reversion,volatility filter,multi-asset etfs,selective leverage,downside protection
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 24 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CORP
PIMCO Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index Exchange-Traded Fund
Stocks
GDX
VanEck Gold Miners ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
LTPZ
PIMCO 15+ Year U.S. TIPS Index Exchange-Traded Fund
Stocks
PICK
iShares MSCI Global Metals & Mining Producers ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks