Backtest: Four Corners
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A diversified, momentum-based 4-corner system balancing growth and safety using QQQ/VPU and CORP/BIL pairings, with hedges and selective leverage to target risk-adjusted returns and controlled drawdowns.
- The strategy splits capital into four sections (Four Corners), each with its own rule set and asset mix. It aims to diversify across sections so no single bet dominates.
- Core signals come from momentum and volatility checks, centered on RSI (a momentum gauge) and recent returns. Lower RSI on a short window can trigger an oversold bounce idea; very high RSI can trigger overbought/defensive tilts.
- The main traditionals are paired assets: QQQ (growth tech exposure) vs VPU (defensive utilities) and CORP (investment-grade corporate bonds) vs BIL (short-term Treasuries). These two axes create a 2x2 grid of potential risk/return profiles.
- The system uses additional hedges and complements (gold GLD; gold miners GDX; long-dated Treasuries TLT; inflation-linked LTPZ; short exposure PSQ; anti-beta BTAL; leveraged tech/S&P ETFs like TECL, SOXL, TQQQ, UPRO) to manage drawdowns and capture different market regimes.
- Leverage is used selectively in the more aggressive corners to amplify moves, but is bounded by risk controls and a preference for rapid liquidity (high-volume, tight spreads).
- Rebalancing is done within a narrow corridor (small tolerated drift) to avoid excessive trading, and the target is to maximize risk-adjusted returns (Sharpe ratio) rather than pure upside.
- The structure includes explicit “Bull Market” and “Bear Market” branches in the Core Logic, with hedging and alternative asset rotations when the market environment worsens or improves.
- The whole system is designed to be diversified (across asset classes and ETFs) so that no single sector or instrument dominates the portfolio’s risk, while still allowing nimble moves when signals align.
- The backtest notes a fixed weight and a zero-frequency rebalancing in this configuration, but in practice the framework can be adapted to adjust weights, rebalancing cadence, and risk targets.
Out-of-sample return ~23% vs ~19% for the S&P, with lower drawdowns (~17.9% vs 18.8%) and Calmar ~1.29. A diversified, momentum-based 4-corner strategy using hedges and selective leverage to chase higher risk-adjusted returns with controlled risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.38 | 0.61 | 0.23 | 0.48 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 509.76% | 13.95% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.86 | |
| 49,751.98% | 56.62% | -3.07% | 6.96% | 2.22 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,985,198.46Regulatory Fees
$18,646.75
Total Slippage
$121,289.45
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 6, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, tactical allocation, momentum, risk management, hedged equity, leveraged components, diversified across sectors and asset classes
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 24 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CORP
PIMCO Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index Exchange-Traded Fund
Stocks
GDX
VanEck Gold Miners ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
LTPZ
PIMCO 15+ Year U.S. TIPS Index Exchange-Traded Fund
Stocks
PICK
iShares MSCI Global Metals & Mining Producers ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks