(B) NOVA | High Win Rate | 3x Hotstepper + Simon's Chained KMLM | v1 (124/10% MDD) Since 2021
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily system that buys oversold 3x tech/semis for bounces, shorts or hedges when markets run too hot, and parks in cash/bonds/gold when unclear. Uses KMLM (managed‑futures ETF) as a regime health check, plus small EM and Treasury momentum tilts.
It’s a daily, rules-based trader that reads “temperature” with RSI (a 0–100 gauge of how fast price has moved: high=hot, low=cold).
- If markets are red‑hot (RSI ~80+ on SPY/QQQ/IOO), it hedges or bets on a pullback with volatility funds (UVXY/VIXM) or inverse tech (TECS/SOXS/FNGD).
- If growth areas are washed‑out (RSI ~30 or lower), it buys the most beaten 3x bull ETFs (SOXL/TECL/FNGG; sometimes LABU) for rebounds, chosen via short‑term leader/laggard sorts.
- If signals conflict, it parks in T‑Bills (BIL/SHV), gold (GLD), or Treasury trades (TMF/TMV).
- A small sleeve uses KMLM (a managed‑futures trend ETF) as a risk health check; if trend is solid and semis lead, it holds SVXY; else cash. There’s also a small EM (EEM/EUM) and TLT momentum sleeve.
Out-of-sample, regime‑driven hedging and trend checks deliver a strong risk‑adjusted edge with low market beta. Calmar 4.15, beta ~0.43, ~25% annualized return, and controlled drawdowns vs SPY—capital protection with upside potential.
Loading backtest data...
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 15, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, momentum & mean-reversion, volatility hedges, managed-futures signal (kmlm), tech/semis/biotech, bonds/gold/cash, emerging markets
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 52 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
COKE
Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EUM
ProShares Trust Short MSCI Emerging Markets
Stocks
FNGD
MicroSectors FANG+ Index -3X Inverse Leveraged ETNs due January 8, 2038
Stocks