(B) NOVA | Drawdown Duel to the MAX v2 | (451/9% MDD) since 2013
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A fast, risk-on/risk-off rotator. It pits ETFs in short “drawdown duels” and rides the one holding up best. When markets run too hot, it flips into VIX “fear” funds or cash; when they cool, it leans into tech/semis. Falls back to steady stocks or KMLM/BTAL if shaky.
Daily it:
- Stages 11–12 day “duels” and owns the ETF that had the smallest recent drop.
- Uses a heat gauge (RSI) on indexes/sectors: very hot → buy VIX “fear” funds or T‑bills; very cold → buy growth/tech (often 2x/3x).
- If risk rises, shifts to a steady stock basket (LLY, NVO, COST, GE/PGR) or diversifiers like KMLM (managed futures) and BTAL. Also rotates semis/energy/utilities.
Out-of-sample upside potential: ~51% annualized versus the S&P’s ~28%, with a Calmar ~2.41 and proactive hedging. It targets alpha in regime shifts, but may exhibit larger drawdowns in stress.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.63 | 1.06 | 0.21 | 0.46 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65.03% | 23.64% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 1.43 | |
| 565.43% | 123.16% | -11.07% | -19.9% | 2.42 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$66,542.70Regulatory Fees
$299.30
Total Slippage
$1,822.37
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 15, 2025
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Regime switching, drawdown rotation, momentum/mean-reversion, volatility hedging, leveraged etfs, defensive stocks, managed futures
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 60 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPB
GraniteShares ETF Trust GraniteShares 2x Long AAPL Daily ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BITX
2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CARD
MAX Auto Industry -3x Inverse Leveraged ETN
Stocks
CONL
GraniteShares ETF Trust GraniteShares 2x Long COIN Daily ETF
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
DRN
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
EETH
ProShares Ether ETF
Stocks