(B) NOVA | Drawdown Duel to the MAX v2 | (451/9% MDD) since 2013
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
NOVA Drawdown Duel v2 is a drawdown-focused equity rotation system that compares groups of tickers via short lookbacks, momentum and risk signals, and hedging rules to pick resilient exposures while using VIX and cash hedges to damp risk.
- The system tests groups of tickers (often ETFs) against each other in “duels” to see which group has performed better during downturns.
- For two-ticker duels it uses an 11-day lookback; for many-ticker duels it uses a 12-day lookback.
- It computes momentum/drawdown metrics (RSI over 10 days vs a benchmark like SPY or QQQ, max drawdown, moving-average returns, etc.) to decide winners.
- It routes capital toward the winning group and may tilt toward hedges (VIX ETFs like VXX/UVXY/UVIX, VIXM) or cash proxies (BIL) when risk signals are high.
- The strategy skins multiple thematic blocks (e.g., front-runner groups, VIX blend groups, inverse-vol tilts) and combines them with “Just Run This” and other guardrails to create a diversified, risk-managed exposure.
- Rebalancing follows predefined corridors and weight rules (e.g., 60-day blocks, certain equal-weight or weighted allocations), with occasional shifts to safer or more aggressive tilts depending on the drawdown/momentum signals.
- The asset universe covers broad equities, sector/quality ETFs, leveraged plays, volatility products, and a managed-futures element (KMLM, BTAL-like groupings), to diversify sources of return and hedge risk.
Out-of-sample NOVA Drawdown Duel v2 aims to beat the S&P with far higher upside and disciplined risk control: ~51% annualized return vs ~28% for the S&P, Calmar ~2.41, and hedges (VIX/cash) to defend during drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.63 | 1.06 | 0.21 | 0.46 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65.03% | 23.64% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 1.43 | |
| 565.43% | 123.16% | -11.07% | -19.9% | 2.42 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$66,542.70Regulatory Fees
$299.30
Total Slippage
$1,822.37
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 15, 2025
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Equities rotation, drawdown protection, momentum/risk signals, vix hedges, multi-asset etfs, managed futures component
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 60 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPB
GraniteShares ETF Trust GraniteShares 2x Long AAPL Daily ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BITX
2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CARD
MAX Auto Industry -3x Inverse Leveraged ETN
Stocks
CONL
GraniteShares ETF Trust GraniteShares 2x Long COIN Daily ETF
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
DRN
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
EETH
ProShares Ether ETF
Stocks