(Archive) Holy Grail Simplified
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Rule‑based, tech‑tilted risk‑on/risk‑off system. Uses an S&P trend filter plus RSI to buy 3× Nasdaq/S&P on dips, flip short at overheated extremes, and rotate into bonds, Treasuries, the U.S. dollar, or gold miners when momentum weakens.
First it checks if the S&P 500 is above its long‑term average (risk‑on) or below (risk‑off). It then uses RSI (a 0–100 “heat gauge” of recent ups vs downs) and moving averages. When price is very hot, it briefly flips to inverse funds; when very cold, it buys leveraged tech. Otherwise it rides uptrends with 3× Nasdaq/S&P funds and, if momentum fades, shifts to short‑term bonds, long Treasuries, the U.S. dollar, or gold miners. A buy‑the‑dip/sell‑the‑rip rule reacts to sharp 1–6‑day swings. Very volatile.
Out-of-sample upside ~72% annualized vs ~22% for the S&P, with Calmar ~1.77 and Sharpe ~1.26. A tech‑tilted risk-on/off rotation strategy aiming for durable gains, but with higher drawdowns and beta than the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.95 | 1.62 | 0.26 | 0.51 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 357.41% | 13.34% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.81 | |
| 27,277,607.27% | 180.32% | 4.53% | -1.43% | 2.16 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,727,770,726.76Regulatory Fees
$6,306,535.62
Total Slippage
$45,338,258.20
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 11, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical rotation, trend + mean reversion, leveraged & inverse etfs, tech‑heavy, treasuries, u.s. dollar, gold miners, risk‑on/risk‑off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
GDX
VanEck Gold Miners ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
STIP
iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF
Stocks