Anti-Inflation/Rising Interest Rate Ruler by Thinh Ba Nguyen
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based plan that flees to gold/inflation hedges when stocks drop, shifts to a USD+gold mix when rates jump, and otherwise rides upside with one 3x tech/market ETF. SPY/QQQ/TLT act as tripwires; the portfolio is often concentrated.
It watches 3 tripwires. 1) Stocks tumbling: if SPY (S&P 500) fell >8% in ~50 days or QQQ (Nasdaq‑100) >5.5% in ~10, move to an inflation hedge—whichever is moving most: gold (IAU), a gold stock (FNV), or an inflation‑expectations ETF (RINF). 2) Else, if TLT (long Treasuries) fell >3% in ~10 days, hold a defensive mix of US dollar (UUP) and gold (IAU). 3) Otherwise, go risk‑on: ~85% in the strongest 3x bull ETF (TQQQ/UPRO/TECL/SOXL).
Out-of-sample edge: ~40.6% annualized return vs SPY ~20.4%, thanks to regime switching to inflation hedges and targeted 3x ETFs. Higher upside, but expect larger drawdowns in downturns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.37 | 1.52 | 0.19 | 0.43 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 576.45% | 14.45% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.89 | |
| 39,563.78% | 52.57% | -3.89% | -20.34% | 1.02 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,966,377.66Regulatory Fees
$6,615.08
Total Slippage
$41,978.62
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 28, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 6%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, regime switching, inflation hedge, risk-off, volatility-based selection, leveraged etfs, multi-asset
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
FNV
Franco-Nevada Corporation
Stocks
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
RINF
ProShares Inflation Expectations ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks