Anti-Inflation/Rising Interest Rate Ruler by Thinh Ba Nguyen
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A tactical “safe haven vs. growth” switcher: hide in gold/inflation plays when stocks drop; hold USD+gold when rates jump; otherwise, put ~85% into the calmest 3x equity fund and keep ~15% cash. Built to cope with inflation and rising rates.
It watches for trouble, then shifts fast:
- If the stock market just dropped hard, move fully into one “safe haven”: gold (IAU), a gold royalty stock (FNV), or an inflation‑expectations fund (RINF)—whichever has been calmer lately.
- If stocks seem okay but tech fell sharply, do the same.
- If long‑term bonds are plunging (rates jumping), split between the U.S. dollar (UUP) and gold (IAU), favoring the steadier one.
- Otherwise, put about 85% into one growth bet among 3x funds (TQQQ, UPRO, TECL, SOXL) that’s been the least bumpy lately, and keep ~15% in cash.
Out-of-sample: ~40.6% annualized return vs SPY ~20%, driven by inflation/rate hedges (gold, USD, RINF) plus selective 3x growth in calm markets. Big upside with hedges; be mindful of ~62% drawdowns in crises.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 28, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 6%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical rotation, risk-on/risk-off, inflation hedge, rising-rate hedge, volatility-based selection, leveraged equities, gold, usd
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
FNV
Franco-Nevada Corporation
Stocks
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
RINF
ProShares Inflation Expectations ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks