Aggressive All-Weather Portfolio (ETFs Substituted for Crypto)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
Aggressive, daily-rebalanced, multi-asset strategy using crypto proxies, gold, real estate, Treasuries, and Nasdaq 3x ETFs with momentum/RSI rules to tilt between bull and bear exposures; designed to chase uptrends while applying hedges in downturns.
- What it is: a high-risk, highly diversified, daily-rebalanced portfolio that mixes crypto proxies, gold, leveraged real estate, leveraged Treasuries, and leveraged Nasdaq exposure to pursue growth in uptrends while using hedges during downturns.
- How crypto is handled: crypto exposure is gained via crypto-tracking ETFs IBIT and ETHA. If IBIT is in an uptrend (price above its 120-day average), you stay in crypto; if not, you shift toward GLD (gold) as a safe haven.
- Real estate lever: DRN (bull 3x) is favored when its price strength beats a short-term benchmark; if not, the bear real estate ETF DRV is chosen.
- Treasury lever: TMF (bull 3x) is favored when momentum against a benchmark (VNQ proxy) is positive on a short window; otherwise TMV (bear 3x) is selected based on secondary momentum checks.
- Nasdaq lever: TQQQ (bull 3x) vs SQQQ (bear 3x) uses RSI signals. If RSI on a broad momentum proxy (HYG) is above 50, tilt to TQQQ; if not, tilt to SQQQ, with a secondary signal that can flip back to TQQQ when SPY RSI hits a short-term threshold.
- How often it changes: daily rebalancing guided by a 200-day trend lookback.
- Objective: aim for growth in trendful markets, with layered hedges to reduce drawdowns when momentum deteriorates.
Note: The strategy uses ETF proxies rather than direct holdings in crypto (to align with a regulated ETF framework) and relies on explicit rules rather than discretionary judgment. The exact position sizes appear to be controlled by a programmatic weight scheme (e.g., weights depicted as 0/100 in subgroups), which keeps the system balanced across its components rather than letting any single component dominate.
Risks and caveats: Leveraged ETFs amplify both gains and losses and can suffer from compounding effects in volatile markets. The use of short-term momentum signals can increase turnover and trading costs. Crypto proxies and leveraged positions can produce large drawdowns during regime shifts. This approach is suitable only for capital you can tolerate significant volatility and potential loss on short horizons.
Out-of-sample edge: ~43.3% annualized return vs SPY ~32.9%, via a diversified, rule-driven mix of crypto proxies, gold, and leveraged ETFs with hedges. Daily rebalancing aims to ride uptrends and control risk.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 23, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, leveraged etfs, tactical allocation, crypto proxies, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DRN
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
DRV
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
ETHA
iShares Ethereum Trust ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
IBIT
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks