Adjusted Balanced Portfolio with Recession Case (50D)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based portfolio that flips between a bond‑heavy defensive mix and a diversified 60/40 stock–bond mix using a 50‑day S&P 500 trend check. Stocks tilt to smaller, cheaper companies worldwide; bonds are U.S. Treasuries plus short‑term TIPS. Rebalanced daily.
Each day it checks a simple trend: is the S&P 500 (via SPY) above its average price over the last ~50 trading days? If yes, it holds a cautious mix (~24% stocks/real estate, ~76% U.S. Treasuries incl. short‑term and inflation‑protected). If not, it switches to a diversified 60% stock/40% Treasury mix tilted to cheaper, smaller companies across the U.S., international, and emerging markets.
Out-of-sample Sharpe 3.28, Calmar 6.33, max drawdown 2.06% vs SPY’s 5.07%, and beta ~0.21. Strong risk-adjusted, lower drawdowns, global small/value exposure—delivering steadier, disciplined long-run performance versus the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.39 | 0.68 | 0.83 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63.28% | 11.63% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.71 | |
| 24.28% | 5% | 1.31% | 3.81% | 0.64 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$12,427.82Regulatory Fees
$30.85
Total Slippage
$70.56
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 4, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend signal,tactical allocation,60/40 with tilts,value & small-cap,global equities,reits,treasuries & tips,daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AVDE
Avantis International Equity ETF
Stocks
AVDV
Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
AVEM
Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF
Stocks
AVUS
Avantis U.S. Equity ETF
Stocks
AVUV
Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
DFIV
Dimensional International Value ETF
Stocks
FNDC
Schwab Fundamental International Small Equity ETF
Stocks
IJR
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF
Stocks
RPV
Invesco S&P 500 Pure Value ETF
Stocks
SPTI
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Treasury ETF
Stocks