Adjusted Balanced Portfolio with Recession Case (50D)
Today’s Change (Feb 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A trend‑aware 60/40. If the S&P 500 falls below its 50‑day average, it shifts to a bond‑heavy mix; otherwise it holds a global stock mix tilted to small/value plus Treasuries and TIPS. Rebalanced daily.
Each day it checks the S&P 500 (SPY) price versus its 50‑day average. If SPY is below that average, it goes defensive: ~24% stocks/real estate (AVUS, IJR, VNQ, AVDV) and ~76% Treasuries (VGSH, SPTI) plus inflation‑protected bonds (VTIP). If SPY is above the average, it holds ~60% globally diversified stocks tilted to small/value (AVUS, RPV, IJR, AVUV, VNQ, AVDE, DFIV, FNDC, AVDV, AVEM) and ~40% Treasuries/TIPS. Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 3.28 vs SPY 2.68, Calmar 6.33, max drawdown 2.06% vs SPY 5.07%, and 13.03% annualized OOS return. A trend-aware 60/40 with global small/value tilt offers better risk-adjusted growth and downside protection than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01 | 0.39 | 0.68 | 0.83 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64.31% | 11.88% | 1.75% | 5.97% | 0.73 | |
| 25.7% | 5.31% | 3.85% | 7.81% | 0.67 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$12,570.45Regulatory Fees
$30.31
Total Slippage
$67.75
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 4, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Dynamic asset allocation, trend following, balanced 60/40, global equities, small/value tilt, treasuries, tips, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AVDE
Avantis International Equity ETF
Stocks
AVDV
Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
AVEM
Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF
Stocks
AVUS
Avantis U.S. Equity ETF
Stocks
AVUV
Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF
Stocks
DFIV
Dimensional International Value ETF
Stocks
FNDC
Schwab Fundamental International Small Equity ETF
Stocks
IJR
iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF
Stocks
RPV
Invesco S&P 500 Pure Value ETF
Stocks
SPTI
State Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Treasury ETF
Stocks