Adaptive All Weather Portfolio v1.1
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A K‑1‑free, adaptive “all‑weather” mix: 30% stocks, 55% bonds, 15% commodities. It uses simple heat/trend checks to rotate among leveraged stocks, Treasuries (long or short), the US dollar, and commodities—and parks in SHY during crashes.
Crash switch: if volatility (VIXY) runs hot by a simple heat meter (RSI = recent ups vs downs), move 100% to short‑term Treasuries (SHY). Else: Stocks 30%, Bonds 55%, Commodities 15%. Stocks: in healthy backdrops use 2–3x S&P/Nasdaq; if rates rise, tilt to defensive sectors, inverse stock funds, and long USD; if rates fall, use 2x S&P/Nasdaq. Bonds: normal Treasuries; short + USD when rates rise; 3x long Treasuries when rates fall. Commodities: broad basket plus recent 5‑day leaders.
Out-of-sample edge: 23.75% annual return vs 21.69% S&P, lower drawdown (18.05% vs 18.76%), positive alpha. A diversified, K-1-free, regime-aware strategy designed to beat the S&P with fewer big losses.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.21 | 0.31 | 0.13 | 0.36 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 269.18% | 14.93% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.86 | |
| 862.23% | 27.28% | -1.58% | -0.05% | 1.64 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$96,223.39Regulatory Fees
$394.08
Total Slippage
$2,355.95
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 25, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
All-weather, tactical allocation, trend + mean reversion, leveraged/inverse etfs, crash protection, usd/bonds/commodities
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 32 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
COMT
iShares U.S. ETF Trust iShares GSCI Commodity Dynamic Roll Strategy ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
GLTR
abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF
Stocks
OILK
ProShares K-1 Free Crude Oil ETF
Stocks
PDBC
Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks