Adaptive All Weather Portfolio v1.1
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Adaptive, K‑1‑free “All Weather” that tilts among leveraged stocks, Treasuries (long or inverse), U.S. dollar, and commodities, with a VIX-based crash switch to short‑term Treasuries. Goal: profit in most environments and beat the S&P 500 long term.
First, a panic switch: if fear (VIX futures) overheats, move 100% to short‑term Treasuries (SHY).
Otherwise hold ~30% stocks, 55% bonds, 15% commodities.
Stocks: use 2–3x stock funds when bonds look healthy; shift to defensive sectors, short stock funds, and long U.S. dollar when rates rise; use 2x S&P/Nasdaq when rates fall.
Bonds: regular Treasuries if calm, inverse Treasuries + USD if rates rise, 3x Treasuries if rates fall.
Commodities: broad basket + recent leaders.
Out-of-sample, this adaptive All Weather strategy delivers higher annualized return (23.5% vs 21.7%), similar drawdown (~18%), and stronger Calmar (~1.30) than the S&P 500, with a volatility-based crash switch and diversified sleeves for resilience.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.21 | 0.31 | 0.13 | 0.36 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 272.7% | 15.26% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.87 | |
| 861.47% | 27.68% | -0.49% | 0.57% | 1.66 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$96,147.02Regulatory Fees
$379.07
Total Slippage
$2,265.85
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 25, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Adaptive allocation, macro regime, leveraged/inverse etfs, equities, treasuries, commodities, usd, volatility switch, trend & momentum, risk control
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 32 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
COMT
iShares U.S. ETF Trust iShares GSCI Commodity Dynamic Roll Strategy ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
GLTR
abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF
Stocks
OILK
ProShares K-1 Free Crude Oil ETF
Stocks
PDBC
Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks