Adaptive All Weather 1.3a Pop Bots l BrianE Mod l Oct 10th 2016
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Daily it flips between buying oversold 3x stock funds for quick rebounds, hedging with UVXY when stocks look overheated, and a core 30/55/15 all‑weather mix that adapts to interest rates and volatility. Heavy use of leveraged ETFs; high risk.
Rebalanced daily. It switches among three modes:
1) Pop trades: buy 3x stock funds (SPXL/TQQQ/SOXL) when they look oversold (RSI, a 0–100 hot/cold score, <30) for a bounce.
2) Pullback hedge: if they look overheated (very high RSI), buy UVXY, a fear fund that jumps when stocks fall.
3) Otherwise a 30/55/15 mix of stocks/bonds/commodities that adapts to rates and volatility: long Treasuries when rates fall; USD/inverse‑bond funds when rates rise; rotate into defensive stock sectors; park in T‑bills if volatility spikes. Uses leveraged ETFs; high risk.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~37.6% vs SPY ~23.3%, Calmar ~1.31 signaling solid risk-adjusted gains. An adaptive, regime-aware mix aiming for higher upside and resilience vs the S&P 500.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 3, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, volatility hedging, mean reversion, trend/regime filters, bonds and usd tilts, commodities
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 43 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
COMT
iShares U.S. ETF Trust iShares GSCI Commodity Dynamic Roll Strategy ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
GLTR
abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF
Stocks
GUSH
Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. Bull 2X ETF
Stocks