Aberrant NVDA RSI events test1.2
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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About
NVDA‑led tactical strategy. After big 60‑day runups it parks in BIL. Otherwise it uses volatility, trend, and an oversold (RSI) signal to shift among NVDA, mega‑cap tech (MSFT/AAPL), cash‑like T‑bills (BIL), and a strong‑USD fund (UUP). Rebalances daily.
1) If NVIDIA gained ≥50% in the last 60 days, park in BIL (a cash‑like T‑bill fund) to lock in gains.
2) Otherwise, read volatility (how bumpy) and trend (average return): when calm and the short‑term trend beats the long‑term, own NVDA; if less clear, hold the two strongest of NVDA/MSFT/BIL/UUP (or NVDA/AAPL/BIL/UUP), giving more weight to the steadier one.
3) If turbulence rises, buy the dip in big tech only when NVDA looks oversold (RSI < 39 = fell too fast); if not, stay defensive (BIL/UUP). Rebalances daily.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe ~1.20 vs SPY ~0.94; annualized return ~27.66% vs 17.70%; Calmar ~1.34. Drawdowns ~20.71% vs SPY ~18.76%. Higher upside with risk-managed flexibility and adaptive assets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.16 | 0.77 | 0.25 | 0.5 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 558.02% | 10.74% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.61 | |
| 4,502% | 23.05% | -1.3% | -4.9% | 0.83 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$460,199.54Regulatory Fees
$2,604.26
Total Slippage
$12,164.47
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 3, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation,momentum,volatility targeting,rsi oversold,mega-cap tech,defensive cash (t-bills),us dollar (uup),daily rebalance