Aberrant NVDA RSI events test1
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Daily NVDA strategy: buy NVDA when volatility is easing and momentum is improving, or after sharp, oversold dips. If signals are weak, hold a low-vol mix of NVDA and Apple; otherwise sit in T-Bills (BIL).
Focuses on NVIDIA (NVDA). Each day it checks two things: volatility (how jumpy price has been) and momentum (RSI: a 0-100 gauge of recent gains vs losses). If swings are calming (20d vol < 30d) and short-term momentum improves (14d RSI > 24d), it buys NVDA.
If calm but momentum isn't, it blends NVDA and Apple (AAPL), favoring the steadier stock (inverse-vol).
If swings just spiked (14d > 28d) and NVDA looks 'washed out' (20d RSI < 39), it buys NVDA.
Else it parks in BIL (T-Bills). Exposure: mostly big-tech or T-Bills.
Out-of-sample, this strategy outperforms the S&P on risk-adjusted gains: oos Sharpe ~1.90 vs 0.96, Calmar ~3.03, annualized return ~77.6% vs 18.1%. It uses volatility regimes to capture upside and limit downside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.21 | 1.22 | 0.43 | 0.65 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 519.21% | 10.2% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.59 | |
| 20,958.82% | 32.98% | -2.6% | 1.38% | 0.96 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,105,882.42Regulatory Fees
$7,115.53
Total Slippage
$41,170.19
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 3, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum and volatility regime, nvda-focused, aapl inverse-vol hedge, t-bill fallback, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 3 assets in total
Ticker
Type