(A) V1.1 Kearsarge - K-1 Free
Today’s Change (Jan 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Three sleeves: a big bond/dollar trend core (53%), a small cross‑asset momentum sleeve (17%), and an active Nasdaq timing sleeve (30%) that flips between QQQ/TQQQ and PSQ/SQQQ using trend, overbought/oversold, and fear signals. K‑1‑free commodities via PDBC.
- 53%: Own broad U.S. bonds (BND) when they trend up; otherwise own the U.S. dollar (USDU). Four timeframes reduce whipsaws.
- 17%: Hold the 2 best 6‑month performers among stocks (SPY), long Treasuries (TLT), gold miners (GDX), broad commodities (PDBC), and floating‑rate bonds (FLOT).
- 30%: Time the Nasdaq. When trends are healthy and fear is low, own QQQ or 3x QQQ (TQQQ). When markets look stretched or fearful, hedge/short with PSQ or SQQQ. Signals use simple ideas: trends (moving averages), “overbought/oversold” readings (RSI), and fear gauges (like UVXY).
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 1.68 vs SPY 1.39, max drawdown 7.1% vs 18.8%, Calmar 2.81, beta 0.30, ~20% annualized return (vs SPY ~23%). Better risk control, diversification, and K-1-free commodity exposure.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3 | 0.12 | 0.03 | 0.18 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 292.41% | 13.64% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.8 | |
| 2,594.11% | 36.08% | 1.74% | 2.41% | 2.65 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$269,411.29Regulatory Fees
$537.82
Total Slippage
$3,421.20
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 23, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 13%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend-following, momentum, risk-on/risk-off, etfs, leveraged etfs, commodities, bonds, currencies
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 22 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
FLOT
iShares Floating Rate Bond ETF
Stocks
GDX
VanEck Gold Miners ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PDBC
Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks