(A) Unlevered KMLM/IYT/CORP 100% Win Rate BIL (43/6 2023) 14 STD
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Daily rotation that prefers QQQ when conditions look healthy, moves to defensive sectors when signals weaken, and in riskier regimes uses volatility (UVXY) or a tail‑risk fund (CAOS), occasionally flipping to QQQ after fear spikes.
Each day it asks: is “big tech” stronger than trend‑following? If yes, it mostly owns QQQ (Nasdaq‑100). If warning signs appear (weak transports or weak credit), it shifts to defensive sectors (consumer staples XLP, utilities XLU). If trend‑following is stronger, it runs a crash‑hedge playbook: buy UVXY (volatility) when fear is rising; otherwise hold a tail‑risk fund (CAOS) unless that fund just spiked, in which case it briefly owns QQQ.
Out-of-sample, this strategy offers a durable risk-adjusted edge: 18.13% annualized return, 4.09% max drawdown, Calmar 4.43, Sharpe ~2.04 - strong upside with tighter downside than the S&P’s 5.07% drawdown.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 8, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum rotation, sector rotation, volatility timing, defensive tilt, tail-risk hedging, cross-asset signals
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
CAOS
Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF
Stocks
CORP
PIMCO Investment Grade Corporate Bond Index Exchange-Traded Fund
Stocks
IYT
iShares U.S. Transportation ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks