A Momentary Lapse of Reason
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily rule-based mix of TQQQ, BTAL, and SPY that uses a 200-day trend check for TQQQ, plus SPY momentum (RSI) and short-term return comparisons to tilt among the three. It seeks growth with hedging via BTAL and a SPY core when no clear signal favors the aggressive or hedged positions.
- You have three ETFs: TQQQ (aggressive growth, levered to tech), BTAL (market-neutral hedge), and SPY (broad market).
- Rebalance every trading day.
- Step 1: Check if TQQQ is in an uptrend by comparing its price to its 200-day moving average. If TQQQ price is above the 200-day average, you allocate equally between TQQQ and BTAL (cash equal among the two assets).
- Step 2: If TQQQ isn’t above its 200-day average, look at SPY momentum:
• If SPY's 14-day RSI is below 30 (SPY looks oversold), tilt into TQQQ.
• Else if SPY's 14-day RSI is above 80 (SPY looks overbought), tilt into BTAL.
• Otherwise compare short-term performance: if BTAL’s 20-day moving-average return is greater than SPY’s, tilt into BTAL; else tilt into SPY.
- In each case, the assets selected are weighted more or less equally among the chosen assets (wt-cash-equal), and the total allocation is adjusted to target positions for the day.
- The overall aim is to ride momentum and trends with TQQQ when conditions look favorable, hedge with BTAL when risk signals are high, and fallback to SPY when neither signal strongly favors TQQQ nor BTAL.
Dynamic tilt blends TQQQ upside, BTAL hedge, and SPY core. OOS: ~21% annual return, ~8.1% max drawdown, Calmar ~2.58, Sharpe ~1.31. Diversified risk control with potential regime-shift upside vs SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.19 | 0.97 | 0.35 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 622.06% | 14.72% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.9 | |
| 7,937.62% | 35.62% | -6.97% | -9.25% | 1.23 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$803,762.34Regulatory Fees
$1,002.67
Total Slippage
$5,318.22
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 5, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum, trend-following, dynamic allocation, leveraged etfs, market hedging