A Momentary Lapse of Reason
Today’s Change (Jun 22, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rotates among TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100), SPY, and BTAL using a long‑term trend test, an overbought/oversold gauge (RSI) on SPY, and a short‑term return comparison. Aims to ride strength and defend in weak or overheated markets. Daily rebalance.
Uses three funds: TQQQ (triple‑leveraged Nasdaq‑100, very aggressive), SPY (S&P 500), and BTAL (defensive long/short).
- If TQQQ is above its 200‑day average price (a simple long‑term uptrend test): hold 50% TQQQ + 50% BTAL.
- Otherwise: if SPY’s RSI is <30 (oversold), buy TQQQ; if >80 (overbought), buy BTAL; else own whichever of BTAL or SPY had the stronger 20‑day average return. Rebalances daily.
Out-of-sample edge: 30.8% annualized return vs SPY’s 23.5%, with a strong risk-adjusted profile (Calmar ~1.7) from leveraged tech plus defensives. Higher upside than the S&P 500, with larger drawdowns in stress periods.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2 | 0.98 | 0.35 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 708.07% | 15.32% | 1.36% | 13.5% | 0.94 | |
| 10,610.29% | 37.57% | 0.35% | 34.28% | 1.28 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,071,029.23Regulatory Fees
$956.95
Total Slippage
$6,114.69
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 5, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Equities, momentum, trend-following, tactical rotation, leveraged etf, market-neutral, rsi, moving averages, daily rebalance