A Better "LETF minimum drawdown" V1 | DJKeyhole
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Aim: beat the S&P 500 with smaller deep losses. Uses leveraged stock ETFs in uptrends, then flips to Treasuries, the U.S. dollar, volatility funds, or inverse ETFs when stress rises. Signals use recent drops, trend, and overbought/oversold cues.
The portfolio splits into 4 sleeves: (1) Times the S&P 500 using recent worst drop (“drawdown”) and trend (moving averages). (2) Buys tech/Nasdaq dips with 3x funds, or shifts to bear funds/safe havens in sell‑offs. (3) A hedge that moves among volatility funds (VIX), the U.S. dollar, and short‑term Treasuries. (4) A small oil tilt. Moving average = avg price; drawdown = worst recent drop; RSI (0–100) flags overbought/oversold.
Risk-managed, multi-sleeve strategy that complements the S&P. With ~0.92 beta and out-of-sample Sharpe ~0.86, Calmar ~0.71, it adds diversification and risk control to seek steadier risk-adjusted upside vs. the index.
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OOS Start Date
Oct 6, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 8%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, tactical timing, trend & mean reversion, volatility/dollar/treasury hedge, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 46 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BRZU
Direxion Daily MSCI Brazil Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
DIG
ProShares Ultra Energy
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Stocks