A Better "LETF minimum drawdown" V1 | DJKeyhole
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About
A rules‑based, risk‑managed approach that uses leveraged ETFs to beat the S&P 500 while capping big losses. It rotates among 2–3x tech/S&P funds, inverse ETFs, Treasuries, the dollar, volatility, and oil based on trend, recent drops, and overbought/oversold signals.
Split into 4 sleeves: 30% S&P on/off, 30% buy‑the‑dip tech/Nasdaq, 35% volatility/dollar/short‑term bonds, 5% oil. It reads a few signals: trend (210 vs 360‑day averages), recent falls from peaks (drawdown), 1–21 day % moves, and RSI (a heat meter: low=washed‑out, high=hot). In uptrends it holds 2–3x S&P/tech (UPRO/SPXL, TQQQ/TECL/SOXL). On drops or when things look overheated, it shifts to hedges: inverse ETFs (SQQQ, SPXS/SH), long Treasuries (TMF/TLT), U.S. dollar (UUP), and volatility (UVXY/VIXM).
Risk‑managed, rules‑based LETF strategy aims for growth with hedges. OOS: ~19% annual return; Sharpe ~0.86; Calmar ~0.71; beta ~0.91. Diversified exposure complements the S&P 500 and helps control volatility.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.39 | 0.62 | 0.22 | 0.47 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 452.96% | 14.27% | 1.75% | 5.97% | 0.87 | |
| 33,769.05% | 57.53% | 2.08% | 10.71% | 2.16 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,386,904.88Regulatory Fees
$12,519.65
Total Slippage
$76,890.17
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 6, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 8%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, tactical allocation, trend following, volatility hedging, risk-managed growth, multi-asset rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 46 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BRZU
Direxion Daily MSCI Brazil Bull 2X Shares
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
DIG
ProShares Ultra Energy
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Stocks