(A) 10% YOLO (20.8/4% MDD) Since 2018
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Barbell: ~90% in T‑bills (BIL), ~10% in a tactical sleeve that flips among leveraged tech (TQQQ/SQQQ), semis (SOXL), S&P (UPRO), or volatility (VXX) using “hot/cold” scores and a 200‑day trend—aiming to stay positive in choppy or down markets.
~90% stays in BIL (T‑bills). The other ~10% is a fast‑moving sleeve. It uses short‑term “hot/cold” scores (RSI: 0–100 over ~10 days; >~80 very hot, <~30 very cold) and a long‑term trend line (200‑day average price). If things look very hot, it buys VXX (volatility) as a hedge. If very cold, it buys 3× bull funds on semis/tech/S&P. Otherwise it flips among 3× long tech, 3× short tech, or T‑bills based on the trend and whether bonds/hedges look stronger. The 10% sleeve can swing a lot.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe ~1.96 vs SPY ~1.10; drawdown ~4.8% vs ~18.8%; Calmar ~2.93. Annualized return ~14% vs ~19% for SPY. Superior risk-adjusted return and downside protection with 90% T-bill core and a nimble 10% sleeve.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.17 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.35 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 178.11% | 13.45% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.75 | |
| 359.06% | 20.69% | 0.87% | 1.1% | 2.96 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$45,906.24Regulatory Fees
$37.11
Total Slippage
$200.90
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 15, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Barbell, tactical allocation, trend-following, mean-reversion, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, risk-managed
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 19 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SOXX
iShares Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks