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80/20 -> 100/0 Markov Chain Equities x Markov Volatility x Sector Rotator 218% RR, 23.6% Max DD, 43.5% SD 2019 BT)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A complex, regime-based strategy that rotates sector exposure, uses Markov-like rules for bull/bear/dip scenarios, and flips into volatility hedges when markets get choppy; aims to balance upside capture with risk controls via levered sector bets and hedges.
NutHow it works
- The strategy runs three interacting parts: Sector Rotator, Markov Chain bets, and Volatility Toggle. - Sector Rotator looks across 10 major sectors, checks momentum signals (RSI) and recent performance, and picks the strongest sector to own (often via a single top choice per sector group). It uses sector ETFs (e.g., XLK, XLF, XLY, XLI, etc.) and levered proxies (TECL, TQQQ, etc.). - Markov Chain bets decide how aggressively to invest in equities (often in QQQ family names or leveraged bets like TQQQ) or to pull back into hedges, based on a sequence of regime states (Bull Market, Bear Market, Dip Buys). It includes tiers like 14/21/50/100/200-day checks and rules that trigger “standard deviation” based buys and sell signals. - Volatility Toggle uses a volatility proxy (VIXY) and other assets (SVXY, BIL, TLT) to detect when the market is calm vs. volatile. In volatile states, it shifts toward hedges (or shorter-duration assets) and reduces aggressive equity exposure; in calmer states, it leans into the sector bets and levered equity bets. - The root output is an allocation plan that can be 80/20 or 100/0 between equities strategies and volatility/defensive elements, with explicit rebalancing and regime-shifting logic. - Overall, the system tries to ride sector leadership while staying prepared for volatility and drawdowns, using a lot of ETF proxies that are liquid and easy to trade in a typical broker account.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample, this strategy blends sector rotation, regime bets, and volatility hedges for higher risk-adjusted growth than the S&P 500: OOS Sharpe 1.28 vs 0.97; Calmar 2.07; ~56.7% vs ~17% annualized return, with hedges but larger drawdowns in stress.

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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 29, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Equities, sector rotation, volatility hedging, regime switching, leveraged etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 34 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
DRN
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
DUSL
Direxion Daily Industrials Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
LTL
ProShares Ultra Communication Services
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toQQQ, SVXY, XLB, TQQQandBIL. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 54.40%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 27.42%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.