80/20 -> 100/0 Markov Chain Equities x Markov Volatility x Sector Rotator 218% RR, 23.6% Max DD, 43.5% SD 2019 BT)
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
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About
Two‑sleeve tactical system: 80% hunts the strongest sector or switches between TQQQ/QQQ/Treasuries/short QQQ based on trend, volatility and dip size; 20% trades “fear” (SVXY/BIL/VIXY). Very aggressive—uses leveraged funds and fast regime switches.
- 80% Equity sleeve: If a short‑term “hot/cold” meter (RSI) says stocks look overheated, it briefly hedges with a fear ETF (VIXY). Otherwise it either rotates into the strongest U.S. sector (sometimes a leveraged fund) or uses a QQQ trend check: calm uptrend=TQQQ (3x), choppy uptrend=QQQ, downtrend=Treasuries or short QQQ. It also buys big dips.
- 20% Volatility sleeve: When fear is fading it shorts volatility (SVXY); when fear is rising it parks in T‑Bills (BIL), sometimes briefly going long volatility (VIXY). Signals use trend (moving averages) and choppiness (standard deviation).
Out-of-sample shows strong upside: ~57% annualized return, Sharpe ~1.32, Calmar ~2.08, vs S&P 500 ~17% return and Sharpe ~0.96. Drawdowns higher (~27% vs ~19%), but risk-adjusted upside remains superior.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.98 | 0.97 | 0.21 | 0.46 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 149.4% | 15.89% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.82 | |
| 67,703.9% | 186.27% | -1.08% | 0.99% | 2.66 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$6,780,390.31Regulatory Fees
$18,433.90
Total Slippage
$120,799.92
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 29, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, sector rotation, regime switching, volatility trading, leveraged etfs, momentum, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 34 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
DRN
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
DUSL
Direxion Daily Industrials Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X Shares
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
LTL
ProShares Ultra Communication Services
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index Shares
Stocks