7. Pop Bot W/ 1x 60/40 (INVEST) | TLT VS SHY EDITION
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily, multi-branch system that chases momentum in 3x-levered ETFs (SPXL, TQQQ, SOXL) while using UVXY as a volatility hedge and a 60/40 core (SPY + bonds) when risk signals rise. It blends short-term RSI triggers with bond-performance checks to tilt between long/short-duration bonds, aiming to balance aggressive equity bets with risk controls.
- The strategy runs every day and looks at three separate momentum modules: SPXL Pop Bot, TQQQ Pop Bot, and SOXL Pop Bot. Each module starts by aiming 100% exposure to its 3x-levered ETF (SPXL, TQQQ, or SOXL).
- If the chosen levered ETF shows extreme short-term momentum (10-day RSI above 80), the system shifts to UVXY (a volatility hedge) to protect against a potential rapid reversal.
- If momentum is not that extreme, and the RSI rule for the upside/downside turns isn’t met, the module may revert to the underlying 3x ETF or blend into a 60/40 core (SPY + bonds) depending on other checks.
- The core 60/40 path (SPY with a bond sleeve) uses bond-performance rules to tilt between long-duration (TLT) and short-duration (SHY, BIL) based on which has better cumulative performance over a look-back window (roughly 40 days). There’s also a check to ensure SPY is positive before entering certain bond-tilts. This creates a pragmatic blend: chase momentum in hot sectors, hedge with UVXY when momentum is extreme, and anchor part of the portfolio in a traditional 60/40 mix when risk signals call for it.
- The three blocks can interact with bond logic and stock proxies (SPY, QQQ, SMH) to shape sector exposure and risk level. Rebalancing happens daily, so positions can swing frequently in response to RSI signals and bond-sleeve checks.
- Important caveat: SPXL, TQQQ, SOXL are 3x leveraged ETFs, so they magnify both gains and losses. UVXY adds a volatility edge during spikes but comes with its own high risk. This strategy is designed for active traders comfortable with rapid shifts and notable drawdowns.
Out-of-sample: ~40.8% annualized return with a 1.29 Sharpe and Calmar 1.55, while capping drawdowns at ~26%. Combines aggressive momentum in 3x ETFs with UVXY hedges and a 60/40 core, aiming for higher upside vs. the S&P 500 (~21%/yr) with controlled risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.21 | 0.46 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 570.79% | 14.38% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 19,755.06% | 45.29% | -0.63% | 0.86% | 1.6 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,985,505.93Regulatory Fees
$8,509.76
Total Slippage
$56,375.03
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 19, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged equity momentum, volatility hedge, tactical asset allocation, multi-asset risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks