7. Pop Bot W/ 1x 60/40 (INVEST) | TLT VS SHY EDITION
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A daily, equal‑weighted trio (S&P, Nasdaq, Semis) that buys 3x ETFs on dips, hedges with UVXY when overheated, and otherwise holds a simple 60/40 or cash. The bond sleeve flips TLT↔SHY using recent bond vs T‑bill momentum.
Equal‑weights three mini‑bots (S&P, Nasdaq, Semis). Each day, a 10‑day RSI heat meter on the 3x ETF drives state: RSI>80 → UVXY (vol hedge); RSI<30 → buy 3x; else: if 10‑day return of SPY/QQQ/SMH>0 → 60% SPY/QQQ/SMH + 40% bonds (TLT if BND≥BIL over 40d, else SHY); if not → BIL. Rebalances daily. Tickers: SPY=US stocks, QQQ=big tech, SMH=semis, TLT/SHY=long/short Treasuries, BIL=T‑bills, UVXY=vol; RSI=0–100 heat meter.
Out-of-sample edge: ~40.8% annualized return vs the S&P 500’s ~21.1%, Calmar ~1.55 for strong risk-adjusted upside. Sharpe ~1.29 near SPY’s ~1.32. Drawdowns higher (~26% vs ~19%), but active risk controls offer magnified growth potential.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 19, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, momentum and mean‑reversion, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, 60/40, risk‑on/risk‑off, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks