63d XLK vs 63d XLU | 2007-05-30
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Daily tech‑vs‑utilities rotation with safety valves: extreme overbought → T‑bills; sharp dip → buy tech; otherwise own the stronger of tech or utilities; if the market trend is down, short QQQ via PSQ.
Each day the strategy checks simple signals:
1) If QQQ (Nasdaq‑100) or SPY (S&P 500) are extremely hot on a 10‑day RSI (>79/>80) → hold BIL (T‑bills/cash).
2) Else if QQQ is very weak (10‑day RSI <30) → buy XLK (tech).
3) Else if XLK’s 63‑day strength beats XLU (utilities) → buy XLK.
4) Else if SPY is above its 200‑day average → buy XLU; otherwise buy PSQ (inverse QQQ).
Out-of-sample, this strategy beats the S&P on risk control: max drawdown 14.7% vs 18.8%, beta ~0.48, Calmar ~0.87 and Sharpe ~0.69. It diversifies risk with tech/defensive tilts plus cash safety valves, targeting steadier, scalable returns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.17 | 0.29 | 0.07 | 0.27 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 519.21% | 10.2% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.59 | |
| 2,983.15% | 20.04% | 0.27% | 6.55% | 0.97 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$308,315.21Regulatory Fees
$1,220.66
Total Slippage
$7,924.19
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 9, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Sector rotation, momentum (rsi), trend filter (200-day), risk-on/off, defensive, inverse etf, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total