60d RSI of TLT Breakdown
Today’s Change (Mar 30, 2026)
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About
Daily, contrarian switch using RSI. If SPY looks “too strong,” go to SHV (T‑bills). Otherwise rotate among leveraged tech/semis or Treasury trades—sometimes short—based on short‑term strength of stocks vs bonds and TLT’s trend.
Daily check. First, SPY’s 60‑day RSI (a 0–100 “strength” score; low=weak) gates risk: if ≥55, sit in SHV (T‑bills). If <55: look at TLT (20+yr Treas.). If its 60‑day RSI <45, pick a 3x tech/semis trade (TECL/SOXL if signals favor bulls, SQQQ/SOXS if not), choosing the one that’s been weaker lately. If TLT isn’t weak: if TLT > 20‑day avg, hold TECL (maybe 50/50 with TLT); else short bonds (TMV).
Dynamic RSI-based strategy offers diversification with a low market beta (~0.34) and tactical hedges to complement SPY. Out-of-sample: ~5.5% annualized return and ~0.34 Sharpe versus SPY’s ~22% return and ~1.31 Sharpe—a risk-managed, regime-driven add-on for a balanced portfolio.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.26 | 0.79 | 0.1 | 0.32 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 523% | 13.14% | -7.68% | -7.76% | 0.8 | |
| 6,718.14% | 32.98% | 3.68% | 4.77% | 0.89 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$681,814.17Regulatory Fees
$2,046.33
Total Slippage
$12,744.44
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 16, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, rsi signals, contrarian, leveraged/inverse etfs, tech & semis, long treasuries, risk-on/risk-off, daily
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPHB
Invesco S&P 500 High Beta ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks