60d RSI of TLT Breakdown
Today’s Change (Aug 7, 2026)
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About
Daily, contrarian switch using RSI. If SPY looks “too strong,” go to SHV (T‑bills). Otherwise rotate among leveraged tech/semis or Treasury trades—sometimes short—based on short‑term strength of stocks vs bonds and TLT’s trend.
Daily check. First, SPY’s 60‑day RSI (a 0–100 “strength” score; low=weak) gates risk: if ≥55, sit in SHV (T‑bills). If <55: look at TLT (20+yr Treas.). If its 60‑day RSI <45, pick a 3x tech/semis trade (TECL/SOXL if signals favor bulls, SQQQ/SOXS if not), choosing the one that’s been weaker lately. If TLT isn’t weak: if TLT > 20‑day avg, hold TECL (maybe 50/50 with TLT); else short bonds (TMV).
Out-of-sample edge: 38% annualized return vs SPY 22%, Sharpe 1.20, Calmar 1.07. Tactical contrarian tech/semis and bond rotations aim for higher upside than the S&P 500, but with larger drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.29 | 0.79 | 0.1 | 0.32 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 659.67% | 14.3% | 2.3% | 5% | 0.87 | |
| 12,866.73% | 37.82% | 29.66% | 45.23% | 0.97 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,296,673.19Regulatory Fees
$1,905.70
Total Slippage
$15,366.59
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 16, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, rsi signals, contrarian, leveraged/inverse etfs, tech & semis, long treasuries, risk-on/risk-off, daily
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPHB
Invesco S&P 500 High Beta ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks