60d OB TEST w/200d Check + UVXY, TZA
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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About
A timing strategy with a long‑term uptrend filter. In normal uptrends it holds SPY. When the market runs hot, it either buys a tech dip with TQQQ or, if no dip, hedges with TZA and UVXY. In downtrends it parks in T‑Bills (BIL).
1) If the S&P 500 is below its 200‑day average, move to BIL (T‑Bills).
2) If above: check a 60‑day “hotness” score (RSI). If not hot (≤60), hold SPY.
3) If hot (>60): look at tech (QQQ) short‑ vs medium‑term averages (5‑ vs 10‑day). If short‑term is weaker (5<10), buy TQQQ (3× long tech). Otherwise split 50/50 into TZA (3× short small‑caps) and UVXY (long volatility).
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~19.1% annualized return vs ~18% for the S&P, using a trend filter and tactical bets (tech dips and volatility hedges) to capture upside while managing risk, offering higher growth with structured risk controls.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.27 | 0.26 | 0.03 | 0.18 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 681.5% | 15.36% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.94 | |
| 5,308.74% | 31.97% | 0.54% | -0.35% | 1.24 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$540,873.59Regulatory Fees
$1,077.34
Total Slippage
$6,963.52
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 25, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend filter, tactical timing, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total