50/50 S&P 500/Commodities by DereckNielsen | "Fund Surfing" Mod
Today’s Change (Mar 30, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A 50/50 blend of commodities and stocks that follows big trends and buys short‑term dips. It can hedge when markets run hot and shift into bonds or inverse funds for defense. Uses leveraged ETFs, so gains and losses can swing quickly.
Splits money 50/50: commodities and stocks.
Commodities: Follow DBC’s trend. Above its 1‑yr average, hold broad commodity ETFs; if they look too hot (RSI = quick “heat” gauge), briefly use inverse commodity funds. Below trend, pair DBC with short‑term Treasuries.
Stocks: If SPY is above its 200‑day average, hedge when overheated (UVXY) or buy the most beaten‑down big index/tech fund for a rebound; if fear is high, switch between long/short 20‑yr Treasuries. If SPY is below trend, hunt for oversold bounces or sit in short QQQ/bonds.
Diversified 50/50 blend of commodities and stocks with trend-following and dip strategies. Out-of-sample: ~15% annualized return vs SPY ~21%; Sharpe ~0.60 vs 1.26; higher drawdowns. Provides diversification and tactical hedges to complement SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.28 | 0.71 | 0.2 | 0.45 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 277.39% | 12.4% | -7.68% | -7.76% | 0.75 | |
| 4,610.79% | 40.37% | 0.44% | 1.06% | 1.37 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$471,078.51Regulatory Fees
$2,366.31
Total Slippage
$13,010.00
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 21, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend following, mean reversion, commodities, s&p 500, tech, volatility hedge, leveraged etfs, bonds
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 22 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
COMT
iShares U.S. ETF Trust iShares GSCI Commodity Dynamic Roll Strategy ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DZZ
DB Gold Double Short ETN due February 15, 2038
Stocks
FTGC
First Trust Global Tactical Commodity Strategy Fund
Stocks
KOLD
ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas
Stocks
PDBC
Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks