[5%] V.1.4|Dippy Qutie š|Garen,Pietros,EricS|06-01-2022
Todayās Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
Ruleābased, riskāon/riskāoff ETF strategy. It hedges crashes when fear spikes, goes defensive after sharp tech drops, and otherwise rides longāterm trends: 3x S&P when stocks and bonds are strong, or rotates to bonds/gold/dollar/commodities when they arenāt.
Panic check: if the fear index (VIXM) is overheating (RSI = how āhotā a move is; >68), flip to SPXU (ā3x short S&P 500).
Else if the Nasdaqā100 (QQQ) fell >3% in 5 days, park in Treasuries (SCHO); only when the 10ā20 day slide is deep does it try a rebound in TQQQ (3x Nasdaq). It wonāt chase +5% daily spikes.
Otherwise: if stocks (SPY) beat commodities (PDBC) over long windows and bonds are firm (BND > BIL), use UPRO (3x S&P); if bonds arenāt, pick the strongest of SHY/IEF/SPY/GLD/UUP. If commodities lead, hold PDBC.
Out-of-sample edge: ~52.8% annualized return vs S&P ~19.2%, Sharpe ~1.07, Calmar ~1.33. Hedges crashes and follows trends with levered exposure for big upside; expect drawdowns ~39.6% vs ~18.8% for SPY.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 27, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend following, risk-on/risk-off, volatility hedge, leveraged etfs, multi-asset rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PDBC
Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SCHO
Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXU
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks