[5%] TQQQ 60D BND, 45D HYG, 2D HYG|EricS|04-09-2023
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Moves into 3x Nasdaq (TQQQ) when bonds and credit look okay; otherwise holds whichever is stronger: Treasuries (IEF), gold (GLD), or the US dollar (UUP). Very aggressive in risk‑on mode.
1) Check bonds vs cash: if 60‑day BND (bonds) beats BIL (T‑bills), backdrop is “risk on”; else go defensive. 2) If risk on and credit (HYG junk bonds) hasn’t fallen >2% over 45 days or is at least flat over 2 days, buy TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100). 3) Otherwise, hold the best of IEF (7–10y Treasuries), GLD (gold), or UUP (US dollar) over 45 days. Note: your text says UPRO (3x S&P); this version uses TQQQ.
Target higher upside than the S&P by using 3x Nasdaq exposure in risk-on, with a defensive sleeve (IEF/GLD/UUP) for risk-off. OOS: ~34% annualized vs ~23% for the S&P, but expect larger drawdowns (up to ~54%) and higher volatility.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.28 | 1.43 | 0.35 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 726.91% | 14.06% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.85 | |
| 66,788.78% | 49.93% | -1.59% | 7.48% | 1.18 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$6,688,877.84Regulatory Fees
$17,612.29
Total Slippage
$114,702.94
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 23, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical allocation, leveraged equity, credit filter, momentum, defensive, bonds, gold, us dollar, nasdaq 100
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks