[5%] TQQQ 60D BND, 45D HYG, 2D HYG|EricS|04-09-2023
Today’s Change (Sep 21, 2026)
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About
Moves into 3x Nasdaq (TQQQ) when bonds and credit look okay; otherwise holds whichever is stronger: Treasuries (IEF), gold (GLD), or the US dollar (UUP). Very aggressive in risk‑on mode.
1) Check bonds vs cash: if 60‑day BND (bonds) beats BIL (T‑bills), backdrop is “risk on”; else go defensive. 2) If risk on and credit (HYG junk bonds) hasn’t fallen >2% over 45 days or is at least flat over 2 days, buy TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100). 3) Otherwise, hold the best of IEF (7–10y Treasuries), GLD (gold), or UUP (US dollar) over 45 days. Note: your text says UPRO (3x S&P); this version uses TQQQ.
Captures Nasdaq upside with 3x leverage when bonds look strong, then shifts to Treasuries, gold, or USD to protect gains. Out-of-sample: ~21% annualized return, comparable to the S&P 500, via a disciplined risk framework.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.26 | 1.41 | 0.34 | 0.58 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 846.32% | 14.52% | -0.5% | 2.26% | 0.88 | |
| 59,020.39% | 46.98% | 0.66% | 7.95% | 1.14 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,912,039.35Regulatory Fees
$14,674.08
Total Slippage
$121,419.77
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 23, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, tactical allocation, leveraged equity, credit filter, momentum, defensive, bonds, gold, us dollar, nasdaq 100
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks