[5%] TQQQ 60D BND, 45D HYG, 2D HYG|EricS|04-09-2023
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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About
When bonds trend better than cash and credit markets look steady, go all-in on TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100). If not, rotate into the best safe haven among Treasuries (IEF), gold (GLD), or the U.S. dollar (UUP) based on recent performance.
1) Check if broad bonds (BND) beat T‑bills (BIL) over 60 days. If not, hold the best of IEF/GLD/UUP by 45‑day return.
2) If bonds are OK, look at junk bonds (HYG): if its 45‑day return > -2% OR its 2‑day return ≥ 0%, buy TQQQ. Otherwise, hold the top of IEF/GLD/UUP.
Out-of-sample edge: ~34% annualized return vs 23% for the S&P, with a risk-on/risk-off rule that times 3x Nasdaq-100 exposure and rotates to IEF/GLD/UUP in downturns. Strong upside potential with disciplined risk control (0.91 oos Sharpe).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.29 | 1.43 | 0.35 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 739.88% | 14.2% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.86 | |
| 69,908.81% | 50.48% | 2.12% | 8.74% | 1.19 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$7,000,881.00Regulatory Fees
$17,411.12
Total Slippage
$113,315.57
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 23, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend-following, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged equities, credit-based filter, momentum rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks