5-50D RSI Mean Reversion V2
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A tactical semiconductor strategy that buys sharp dips with SOXL and fades sharp spikes with SOXS, adjusts to market “fear,” and parks in safer assets when no edge is present. High risk due to leverage and single‑sector focus.
It watches the semiconductor fund SMH. If SMH looks very “cold” (recent drops), it buys dips using SOXL (a 3x bull ETF). If SMH looks very “hot” (fast run‑ups), it fades spikes with SOXS (a 3x bear ETF).
It first checks how jumpy markets are (a fear gauge, UVXY). In stormy times it waits for bigger one‑day moves before acting; in calm times, smaller moves suffice.
When no clear signal, it holds SMH or a basket of leading chip stocks. If conditions worsen, it parks money in safer sleeves like short‑term Treasuries (SHY), the U.S. dollar (UUP), or volatility ETFs until a better entry shows up.
Out-of-sample edge: ~48% annualized return vs SPY ~21%, with ~0.89 Sharpe and meaningful semiconductor tilt. Higher risk (levered, single sector) and drawdowns up to ~60%, but strong upside during chip rallies.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 20, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 8%
Type
Stocks
Category
Semiconductors, mean reversion, tactical, leveraged etfs, volatility-regime, hedged
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 27 assets in total
Ticker
Type
ADI
Analog Devices, Inc.
Stocks
AMAT
Applied Materials Inc
Stocks
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Stocks
ASML
ASML Holding NV
Stocks
AVGO
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
INTC
Intel Corp
Stocks
KLAC
KLA Corporation Common Stock
Stocks
LRCX
Lam Research Corp
Stocks
MCHP
Microchip Technology Inc
Stocks
MRVL
Marvell Technology, Inc. Common Stock
Stocks