3x Leveraged | Dereck's Secular Market Framework
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based plan that sizes up long-, medium-, and short-term trends, then rotates: 3x stock ETFs in uptrends; bonds/defensives or even short Nasdaq in downtrends. Buys 3x tech on sharp dips and tempers risk when stocks look overheated.
It reads the market like this:
1) Long-term trend: Is SPY’s 200‑day average above its 1000‑day? If yes, think long-term uptrend; if not, downtrend.
2) Medium trend: 50‑day vs 200‑day (“golden” above, “death” below).
3) Heat check: RSI (0–100 gauge; <30=washed‑out, >60=hot) and price vs 200‑day.
Then it switches among: UPRO=3x S&P; TECL=3x tech (on dips); SPY; TMF/TLT=long Treasuries; BND/BSV=bonds; XLP=defensive; SQQQ=3x short QQQ. Uses leverage (high risk).
Out-of-sample edge: ~43% annualized return vs SPY ~22%, Calmar ~1.18. Dynamic trend-rotation seeks bigger upside across regimes while moderating risk - though bear-market drawdowns can exceed the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.21 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.71 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 707.4% | 13.92% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.85 | |
| 39,213.17% | 45.18% | -6.26% | -2.87% | 1.15 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,931,316.75Regulatory Fees
$7,827.57
Total Slippage
$51,335.21
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 25, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, regime switching, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, momentum, inverse etfs, u.s. equities, bonds, sector rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks