3x Leveraged | Dereck's Secular Market Framework
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A market-timing strategy that gets aggressive in strong stock uptrends, but moves into bonds, defensive funds, or even bearish tech bets when conditions weaken.
This strategy first asks: is the U.S. stock market in a long-term healthy trend or a weak one? It answers that by comparing the S&P 500’s shorter-term average price with its much longer-term average.
In strong markets, it often buys very aggressive 3x stock funds, but tones risk down if stocks look overheated. In weak markets, it shifts toward bonds, defensive stocks, or sometimes a fund that rises when tech falls.
Out-of-sample edge: ~39% annualized return vs S&P ~21%, with solid risk control (Calmar ~1.08) and adaptive hedging. It rides strong uptrends with leverage when favored, while defensive moves help limit losses—even if drawdowns can exceed the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.21 | 1.62 | 0.51 | 0.71 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 837.76% | 14.41% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.88 | |
| 53,517.31% | 45.94% | -1.16% | 7.32% | 1.16 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,361,731.41Regulatory Fees
$7,125.92
Total Slippage
$60,086.38
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 25, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, regime-switching, leveraged etfs, tactical asset allocation, market timing, defensive rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks