3x Leveraged | Dereck's Secular Market Framework
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rules-based trend-and-bounce approach: 3x stock funds in uptrends, bonds/staples in downtrends, with oversold tech rebounds or an inverse Nasdaq hedge when weakness deepens. Uses moving averages and RSI on SPY/QQQ.
First it checks the long-term trend: is the S&P 500’s 200‑day average above its 1000‑day average? If yes, it rides stocks (often 3x S&P via UPRO), but if the S&P looks “hot” (RSI>60) it mixes in 3x long Treasuries (TMF). Sharp tech selloffs (QQQ RSI<30) trigger short bounce trades (TECL). If trend is down, it favors bonds or staples, and if tech breaks lower it may use TLT or a 3x inverse Nasdaq hedge (SQQQ). RSI is a 0–100 speed gauge; MAs smooth price.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~42.95% vs S&P 500 ~21.87%; a rules-based, 3x leveraged trend strategy with hedges. Higher upside but larger drawdowns (~36% vs ~19%); Calmar ~1.18.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 25, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, regime switching, leveraged etfs, momentum/mean reversion, us equities, treasuries, defensive rotation, inverse hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks