30D QQQ RSI < 40% +Staple My Bonds (38,23,2010)
Today’s Change (Oct 8, 2026)
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About
Contrarian, daily-tactical: buy 3× Nasdaq (TQQQ) when QQQ looks oversold; otherwise sit in a defensive asset (consumer staples or bonds) that’s currently most oversold. Very high risk when in TQQQ; frequent trading.
Each day it checks a “recent weakness” score (RSI, 0–100) on QQQ, an index fund of big tech-focused Nasdaq-100. If that 30‑day score is below 40 (QQQ has been weak), it buys TQQQ, a 3× version of QQQ, aiming for a rebound.
Otherwise it holds a defensive fund: either XLP (everyday‑goods companies) or VBF (investment‑grade bonds), picking the one that looks more beaten‑down over the last 10 days (lower RSI). Rebalanced daily.
Contrarian, tactical sleeve capturing tech rebounds via TQQQ and rotating to oversold defensives (XLP/VBF). Out-of-sample: ~18%/yr, ~0.64 Sharpe, ~22.7% max drawdown. Diversifies risk with selective upside beyond the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.21 | 0.77 | 0.29 | 0.54 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 865.61% | 14.62% | 1.72% | 4.21% | 0.89 | |
| 14,885.84% | 35.17% | -0.27% | -1.79% | 1.36 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,498,583.75Regulatory Fees
$7,853.10
Total Slippage
$55,306.36
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 13, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Rsi mean reversion, tactical allocation, leveraged tech, sector/bond rotation, daily rebalanced