30D QQQ RSI < 40% +Staple My Bonds (38,23,2010)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Contrarian, daily-tactical: buy 3× Nasdaq (TQQQ) when QQQ looks oversold; otherwise sit in a defensive asset (consumer staples or bonds) that’s currently most oversold. Very high risk when in TQQQ; frequent trading.
Each day it checks a “recent weakness” score (RSI, 0–100) on QQQ, an index fund of big tech-focused Nasdaq-100. If that 30‑day score is below 40 (QQQ has been weak), it buys TQQQ, a 3× version of QQQ, aiming for a rebound.
Otherwise it holds a defensive fund: either XLP (everyday‑goods companies) or VBF (investment‑grade bonds), picking the one that looks more beaten‑down over the last 10 days (lower RSI). Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample: ~29.3% annualized return with Calmar 1.29. Diversifies with tech rebound upside via tactical rotation to oversold defenses. Higher drawdowns vs SPY, but offers meaningful risk-adjusted exposure across cycles.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.22 | 0.78 | 0.3 | 0.54 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 726.91% | 14.06% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.85 | |
| 14,092.07% | 36.14% | -1.99% | -0.12% | 1.38 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,419,207.25Regulatory Fees
$8,528.38
Total Slippage
$49,558.05
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 13, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Rsi mean reversion, tactical allocation, leveraged tech, sector/bond rotation, daily rebalanced